Do you think$149is a bit too steep for a glorified EyeToy, even one that was advertised byCirque du Tightpants? You’re not alone. Industry analyst and professional wrestler Michael Pachter thinks it costs too much, and that the price won’t allow it to threaten the Wii.

“The Kinect bundle costs only $100 more than the cost of a standalone console, so they can afford to sell Kinect for $100,” says Pachter. “The standalone price for Kinect is too high, and core gamers will be put off by the price. My bias is that most core gamers will wait, but that 5-10% will buy it. That suggests 2-4 million standalone units [sold].”

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“I don’t see a meaningful threat to the Wii at these prices. I think that both Kinect and Move are priced too high to spark the whole industry, but think that both will sell modestly well.”

What do you reckon? Is Pachter right on this one, or is his professional guesswork off the mark?

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